-10 points
*

P(she only has a facial paralysis)

Alternatively

P(she smiles at you| she likes you) but…

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1 point

Why?

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1 point

Smash! Next question.

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2 points

Wtf? This gives Incel vibes

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13 points

Nice, we can also assume that P(she smiles at you | she likes you) is approximately 1, simplifying to only 2 variables, and also substitute P(you are likable) for P(she likes you) to remove all unknowns.

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10 points

and also substitute P(you are likable) for P(she likes you)

That seems like a pretty wild leap of logic. Being likeable in general isn’t a substitute for a specific person liking you. Though there’s probably a correlation related to your overall “likeability score”.

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2 points

So you’re saying further research is needed to constrain P(she likes you|you are likeable)?

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4 points

So lowest denominator possible (rarely smiles)?

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33 points

unfortunately, P(she likes you) ≈ 0

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13 points

So you’re saying there’s a chance?

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8 points

Damn you priors

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