Given P(she smiles at you | she likes you) is approximately 1

Assuming P(she likes you) > 0

Then we can sub into

P(she likes you | she smiles at u) = (P(she smiles at you | she likes you) * P(she likes you))/P(she smiles in general)

To get P(she likes you | she smiles at u) = x/P(she smiles in general)

Where x is some number between 0 and 1

Therefore we can conclude the more she smiles the less likely its cos she likes you. Therefore find the oens who dont smile and get em to smile. Therefore bigtiddygothgf.

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31 points

unfortunately, P(she likes you) ≈ 0

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7 points

So you’re saying there’s a chance?

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3 points

I’d be a lot less confused by a Venn diagram.

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8 points

Damn you priors

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12 points

Nice, we can also assume that P(she smiles at you | she likes you) is approximately 1, simplifying to only 2 variables, and also substitute P(you are likable) for P(she likes you) to remove all unknowns.

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9 points

and also substitute P(you are likable) for P(she likes you)

That seems like a pretty wild leap of logic. Being likeable in general isn’t a substitute for a specific person liking you. Though there’s probably a correlation related to your overall “likeability score”.

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2 points

So you’re saying further research is needed to constrain P(she likes you|you are likeable)?

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