1 point

But still no getting rid of the EC or passing RCV by incumbents.

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25 points

Nate silver also predicted Hillary would win against Trump.

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7 points

He predicted she had 70% chance to win. He didn’t predict her to win.

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2 points

So… About the same as this

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15 points

I suspect Harris got her “convention bounce” (as defined by the model) right when she became the nominee, this made the model think she was overperforming pre-convention and now the bounce is fading “early” when the model thinks she should still have it so it seems like she’s underperformed.

If this is the theory, knowing how close the swing states are and thus how swingy it can be, most likely this number goes back to maybe 55/45 Trump.

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4 points

Isn’t he also shilling PolyMarket as well?

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1 point

He’s a paid something or other for them, why?

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60 points
*

Ignore headlines

JUST VOTE

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-12 points
Removed by mod
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3 points

I am glad at least some mods care to stop this user’s efforts to sway the election

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7 points

Yeah and maybe trump can suck putins dick in another press conference to try and get more of the anti democracy vote.

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