The problem with the Biden debate situation is that he was trailing in the polls, so he needed a debate with a strong performance in order to win over voters. Obviously, the opposite of that happened.
Trump’s margin against Kamala is likely smaller, but he’s still slightly ahead. It’s probably much more prudent for him to avoid a debate given that Kamala would probably perform much better than him. He has nothing to gain and everything to lose.
He’s dropping in the polls, especially against her. Maybe some people are too young to remember, but candidates usually gain like 10% in the polls after a failed assassination. Or 5% after the convention. And their Vice Presidential Candidate gains after the convention too.
Trump literally had no assassination or convention bump. His ceiling is less than 50% of voters. Kamala Harris has seen a large bump just from jumping into the race. Some swing state polls went from +8 or +10 trump earlier this year, to only +2 against Kamala.
She’s only made one speech as the potential candidate! Believe me, she’s going to be on top by the day of the debate.
Yes, I hope her momentum continues to grow and that she snaps up the undecided vote as people become more familiar with her.
But at that point, the question becomes whether she needs to debate. The Pod Save guys were saying that if she’s ahead in the blue wall states by September it might be the smarter move to stay on the campaign trail and deny Trump the national airtime.
There was a time where it was a given that we’d have x number of Presidential debates… I can’t believe how far we’ve sunk.
Holy fuck. If you’re still human and waking up in the morning, you’re real sick. You might be ai.
I honestly assumed most of my life that it was just a rule for candidates that they have to debate.
