Voters over 70 are backing Harris over Trump, 51 to 48 percent, Emerson College poll finds

A new poll shows some baby boomers and members of the Silent Generation are switching allegiances from former President Donald Trump to Vice President Kamala Harris.

The Emerson College poll released Thursday  shows voters over 70 backing Harris over Trump 51 to 48 percent. That’s a small but positive shift for Harris, as last month, 50 percent of the group supported Trump while 48 percent backed President Joe Biden, who dropped out of the race and endorsed Harris last month.

The group includes some baby boomers, who were born between 1946 and 1964, and the Silent Generation, born between 1925 and 1945.

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I can’t believe Walz and Vance have the same favorable view.

A lot of this is generically partisan. Walz has a 10% higher “Never heard of him” figure, and that’s going to change depending on how the media frames him. I’m less worried about what actual Republican media tries (they’ve been pretty ham-handed with their early snipes) and much more worried what we’re going to see out of the Papers Of Record, given that the NYT/WaPo Op-Ed boards were seriously gunning for Shapiro and now they’re all being pissy about it.

But I also think Trump’s kinda-sorta right, in saying that people don’t really care about your VP. These are going to be hyper-partisan elections. The idea that you’re going to have Republicans break ranks for Harris because of Walz feels overly optimistic. Not when they’re still stuck on the FOX News bandwagon, and they’re inevitably going to get an earful about how Tim personally lead a delegation of illegal Chinese Muslim Immigrants to a factory town in Ohio to hold up the jobs factory and steal all the jobs.

Overall favorability is going to decay as the parties go hard into the negative ads. And I fully believe this is going to be one of the grossest elections of my lifetime, what with Dems finally deciding to be mean to Republicans and Republicans being even more desperate and hysterical than usual.

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