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56 points

In a multi-way ballot, Harris’ lead widens, receiving 47% to Trump’s 41% among registered voters, and 50% to 42% among likely voters.

Yeah, I’ve been wondering about this. People talk like RFK and Stein are spoilers for the Dems, when it seemed really obvious to me that RFK and Trump must share some of the brainworm-victim demographic.

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21 points
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RFK sounds “progressive-independent” on paper or on his website, with all the good bullet points that are almost perfectly tailored to try and steal democratic votes- but the second he opens his mouth at any event it is complete far-right insane word vomit. Any “on the fence” voter who does even the barest research or watches one event will go “Oh HELL no”.

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6 points
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Any “on the fence” voter who does even the barest research or watches one event will go “Oh HELL no”.

That’s still actually a pretty high bar for “on the fence” voters. Anyone who is of voting age, lived through the past 8 years, and is still undecided about Trump is probably already an idiot who can’t even be bothered to do basic research outside of reading facebook while on the toilet.

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8 points
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Must remember that there is a MASSIVE pool of “unlikely voters” sitting on the sidelines and up for grabs. These voters are very familiar with Trump, but they aren’t very familiar with Harris and especially Walz. That means there is big potential to turn Unlikely Voters into Likely Voters for Harris.

We really need voter turnout to be historic.

That means getting a greater chunk of the Voting-Eligible Population to turn out. Ideally we need to exceed the already high turnout of recent elections of ~66%.

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