48 points

…THATS WHAT THE POLLS SAY!!!

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21 points

The gambling odds have started to show a significantly better chance for Kamala winning than Biden now, it’s an interesting shift.

And, those odds aren’t odds that only take affect if she is made the nominee, there’s no prerequisites there, it’s generic odds of just Kamala running and winning the election period.

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2 points

Yeah. People are cleaning up on polymarket.

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6 points

Source?

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9 points
Removed by mod
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6 points

Hey, the nature of probabilities with uncertainty is that they’ll never reach zero, he’ll just have a 0.005% chance of win, which is technically not “no way”. Checkmate bedwetters.

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4 points

He doesn’t remember.

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42 points

If he loses either Pennsylvania or Michigan, he can’t win.

He doesn’t have to lose both of them, just losing one or the other puts him underwater.

So how is that going?

PA - Trump +3 to +7.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

MI - Biden +5 to +6.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

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6 points

Erf, and fivethirtyeight is one of the poll sites that tends to be pretty accurate =/

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17 points

I heard they actually lost their statistician who originally set the whole thing up. I’m expecting a decline in quality. Wikipedia says the original guy, Nate Silver left and created his own website last year. Natesilver.net

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10 points

And he’s been saying for weeks that Biden is unlikely to win and should drop out

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37 points

“But I get overwhelming support. Overwhelming support. I won … I forget how many votes I won in the primary, overwhelming.”

I mean as only one running in it one would hope so

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20 points

After reading all the comments on here and all of our social media, we don’t need an official poll. Even the staunchest of Democrats are now saying the same thing that many of us have been saying for over 4 years.

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18 points

Unless Obama personally drags him behind the woodshed I don’t see him dropping out. His hubris is too strong, and his identity is too connected to his political career. This was never about the country. It was always exclusively about Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, and Joe Biden’s egos.

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23 points
*

No one - I mean absolutely no one - runs for President without a high level of ego and narcissism. Who the fuck thinks they are best suited to “lead the free world”? No one with an ounce of humility.

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27 points

Bernie. Sanders.

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5 points

Maybe, if you think about it, your country is pretty much built on ego?

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5 points
*

I don’t need to think about it. I already know that is the case.

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2 points

Yeah, I’m so sick and tired of people delicately tiptoeing around these people because “whatabout their LEGACY”. I can assure there are very few Americans that GAF about Biden’s so-called legacy, but we keep having to play this stupid game.

Again, I’ll be voting for him if he’s in the general. But I want the Democrats to win and I’m not too sure we aren’t royally fucked if it’s him on the ticket.

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16 points

I just did a poll on everyone who watched that press conference and it says, “there’s no way you can win.”

Ok…who’s next?

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