Summary

All 435 U.S. House seats are up for re-election, with Republicans aiming to expand their slim majority and Democrats needing just 5 seats to regain control. The race is highly competitive, and results may take days to finalize.

Republicans’ tenure has been marked by internal chaos, including a prolonged speakership battle and the ousting of Speaker Kevin McCarthy. Democrats are campaigning on this dysfunction, hoping to sway voters.

The new Congress will face a critical task in January: certifying the presidential election results, with potential partisan tensions surrounding the process.

18 points
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Control of the chamber is a highly competitive race, but most of the races themselves aren’t. Due to creative drawing of district boundaries, the overwhelming majority of seats are in noncompetitive races. The New York Times lists only 22 districts in doubt out of 435.

They list 175 “solidly Democratic” 17 “Likely Democratic” and 13 “Lean Democratic”, as well as 191 solid, 9 likely and 8 leaning Republican districts. Do the math, and we have a base of 205 Democrats to 208 Republicans, and then the competitive races on top of that.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/house-election-swing-districts.html

(I think they dropped the paywall temporarily for election coverage)

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11 points

I hope the people of those 22 districts are enjoying their democracy to the fullest.

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6 points

Maybe one day they’ll enjoy it enough to elect representatives who will try to extend democracy to the rest of us by eliminating gerrymandering and the electoral college.

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5 points

Swing state voter. Just got back from the polls and the parking lot at the library was packed.

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4 points

Ohioan here. The line was far longer then I have ever seen it before

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1 point
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