Kamala is going to win comfortably. Mark it.

Just a matter of how much violence and SCOTUS fuckery we’ll have to get through first.

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1 point

True. If the team didn’t score more points in the first quarter than the other team scored the entire game, they would definitely lose.

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8 points

Holy fucking shit that website is cancer. Tells me to register an account to view this “free” article. Takes 5 minutes of authentication timeouts before the website to accept the new account. Then blocks the article anyway because it needs a paid sub.

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23 points

Don’t fucking stop. Don’t listen to the polls, good or bad. Our republic depends not merely on winning, but running up the score, so that there’s no doubt about who won.

And if that’s not enough reason, every vote for Kamala is just 1 more Psychic damage that Trump takes after the election. He thinks everyone loves him; your vote is proof that he’s wrong, and it will drive him MAD.

Vote. Vote. VOTE.

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1 point

Story as written assumes people will vote with their party and thus comparing registered parties is a good indicator. However, of three people I know to be registered republican, they all claim to have voted Harris. I suppose it’s less likely that a democrat went for Trump, but just to point out that analysis is flawed as it has only party affiliation to go with.

Further one might use voting data to characterize two independents I know as ‘right leaning’ because they always get the Republican primary ballot. However it’s because they think it’s more important to vote against the worst republicans than try to select the best democrats.

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12 points

The Democratic nominee had an advantage of 19 to 29 points over her Republican rival, according to tallies by ABC News-Ipsos, New York Times-Siena College and CNN.

The lead is larger than the one Hillary Clinton had over Donald Trump in the run-up to the 2016 election when polls showed the Democratic nominee leading with 8 to 16 points.

Joe Biden had a greater margin in late 2020 polls when Democrats embraced mail voting, while Trump attacked it and persuaded his supporters not to do it.

Ok, so basically Democrats always have an advantage in early voting and it’s hard to know what to make of this. It’s pretty much exactly what you’d expect given that 2016 was before Trump heavily politicized early and mail-in voting and 2020 was during the pandemic when Democrats were less likely to want to go to crowded polling places because of the whole believing Covid exists thing.

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