Ukraine is seriously considering the possibility of restoring nuclear weapons. This is reported by Bild with reference to a source.

“We have the materials, we have the knowledge. If there is an order, it will only take us a few weeks to get the first bomb,” said a Ukrainian official.

And Western countries should think less about Russia’s red lines and much more about Ukraine’s red lines.

According to analyst Julian Repke, a condition for restoring the nuclear weapons Ukraine has surrendered could be a second attempt by the Russian Federation to go after Kyiv.

152 points

Didn’t Ukraine give up its nukes specifically under the condition that Russia would leave them alone as a free independent nation? Seems those terms went out the window years ago.

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84 points

Exactly. That treaty was already violated. So there is no longer any treaty preventing them from becomming a nuclear power again.

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35 points

I’m surprised it took them this long to even threaten the idea, although it could simply be that they already built some weapons to have a stockpile before the announcement. I can totally see Putin thinking “oh they only have one bomb, that’s an acceptable loss to stop them from building more before we have another MAD stalemate.”

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21 points

By years ago, ypu mean 2014?

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7 points
  1. 2014 is when Russia violated the agreement.
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4 points

I thought it was 2016, but yeah, somewhere around then.

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18 points

Yes and that exchange has been observed by the whole world. I doubt we will ever see one like it again

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22 points

Anyone that gives up all of their nukes is nuts… as demonstrated by the Ukraine case.

You might limit the amount, how many do you really need … not thousands… that’s expensive anyway.

With this message I would not be surprised if in some underground mining complex Ukraine has centrifuges being installed already.

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9 points

Well they claim they have what they need already.

Unknown if that’s for a dirty bomb or a true nuclear fission weapon

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2 points

They aren’t even the only country to do it that’s currently in serious conflict with a nuclear power. Canada did it and now has pulled all diplomats from India.

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16 points

And that the US would protect them if attacked.

'93 Budapest protocol I believe

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22 points
*

That is not what the Budapest Memorandum says. It’s really short so you can just read it but it only requires the US to bring the matter to the UN security counsel which they have. Russia has violated most provisions but the US hasn’t violated any.

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14 points

Knew I was missing something.

Kinda seems like a moot clause considering Russia has veto powers in the UNSC.

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5 points

Ah I wasn’t aware of that part of the deal. I wonder if they’re threatening nukes because they’re getting nervous that Trump might get re-elected and not honor that deal?

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12 points

They’re threatening to build nukes because they have nukes, I believe both France and Israel came out as nuclear nations in the same “we’ll just float becoming a nuclear nation and see what happens.”

There’s still Soviet nuclear material missing and Ukraine has both mines and the know how to assemble older nukes anyway because that was done to some extent in Ukraine during the Soviet Union.

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14 points

Ya.

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81 points

As much as I hate to see nuclear proliferation, Russia hasnt really given Ukraine much choice in the matter, seeing that Russia is willing to invade any non-nuclear states around it.

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42 points

Unfortunately this is the only kind of language Russia understands.

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42 points

Understandable. Sad, but understandable.

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28 points

Based.

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24 points

They’re right to do it.

Russia proved to the world that every single promise made for nuclear non-proliferation is a lie, and the only way to deter an empire remains “be fucking dangerous”.

It’s very fucking sad and we’re committing to MADness harder than ever because of Putin and Russian dumbass hardass culture.

Russian men are to blame for wanting all this, demanding it, fighting for it instead of against it.

It seems entirely possible to me that Russia decides to preemptively nuke Ukraine to prevent them from getting their own, and at that point either the US decides it’s not worth retaliating for them, or the end of the world is ordered … but even if that happens, I just don’t care. Reason and stability are forfeit and before we get people back on board, before we get Russians back to it, I wouldn’t be surprised if there has to be close calls where everything might go wrong and never get another chance to be resolved. But I’ve lived my whole life with the nuclear threat and the doomsday clock strongly defining everything that ever happened in my life as borrowed time, permitted by empires withholding global annihilation. I’ve come to fucking accept it a long time ago. The cultural impact of nuclear doomsday threats on widespread nihilism seems obvious. And in my mind it’s just fucking fitting that stupid humans should choose to fuck eachother completely over and be left with nothing to lord over. Going into it knowing that and being fine with it because at least the enemy is also obliterated, poisoned, and doomed. Humans are just like that. We’re angry idiots and a lot of us deserve that kind of end. If going interstellar was ever a distant potential, it might even be for the best that we don’t bring our bullshit outside Earth’s cradle. It seems insane to me that anyone could not be feeling misanthropic after the failures of the hopes built up in the late 80’s.

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6 points

You need to understand that Putin is only ordering a nuclear strike as the last option for him to stay in power, because after that he knows that is only a matter of time before someone kill him, what can happen is Russia backing out and he pray for the population to not rebel against him, and to be fair, Russians don’t give a fuck so that would happen

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1 point

Hopefully a large building crumbles over putin accidentally like the Hamas incident thus week.

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1 point

It’s not just the US. Nuclear launches any nuclear power allied with Ukraine could fire. My bets are actually on France or the UK

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