Commissioned by the Arab American Institute (AAI), the online poll of 2,505 American voters conducted between July 31 and August 1 found that 44% of U.S. voters would back Harris, 40% would support Republican nominee Donald Trump, and 11% would vote third party “if the election for president of the United States were held today.”
But if Harris were to endorse a suspension of U.S. arms shipments and diplomatic support for Israel “until there was a cease-fire and withdrawal of forces from Gaza,” her national support would grow from 44% to 49%.
A majority of Democratic voters say the Gaza crisis is either very or somewhat important in determining how they vote in November, according to the AAI poll.
The new survey, which has a margin of error of 2 percentage points, is consistent with an earlier poll commissioned by the Institute for Middle Eastern Understanding Policy Project, which found that Harris would bolster her chances in key battleground states if she backed an arms embargo.
Nowhere in the article does it state where these extra votes would be coming from.
A majority of Democratic voters say the Gaza crisis is either very or somewhat important in determining how they vote in November, according to the AAI poll.
Really? There are registered democrats who are honestly and seriously planning to vote for trump if Kamala doesn’t embargo Israel? Something is not adding up here.
A lot of Muslim democrats are refusing to vote for Harris because of this point. I don’t think they’re plannong on voting for Trump but I guess it’s a possibility.
I don’t think any potential Democrat voters would vote for trump. I agree that doesn’t make any sense. People are not energized to vote when your vote supports an active genocide either way. Your choices are ratchet to the right or a hellscape…if you give reasonable voters an appealing platform more would come out and cast a ballot. This ‘hands are tied’ position on Gaza is embarrassing and very disenfranchising
Yes, the obvious right answer here, and the morally correct thing to do, is to stop the weapons shipments. I can’t see any downside that outweighs the stakes involved in this election. The fact that they keep doubling down leads me to believe there are other factors in play here that most of us are not aware of.
Doubt that there are other factors in play other than Bibi wishes for this to continue as it’s his stay out of jail card. Biden is and has always been blind to any Israel wrongdoing and with his current mental faculties will bend to whatever the AIPAC says. Thinking there are other factors deeper is simply a way to cope with a clear atrocity that could be dampened by doing less. That is an easy way to gain voters imo. Hamas is terrible but fueling this is only creating more radicals in an already hostile area
My thoughts exactly. Given how entrenched the unconditional support for Israel is at all levels of the US, I’m sure Dems are well aware of which position on this issue will net them most votes, especially among the cohorts that actually bother to go out and vote rather than complain online and stay home.
Christ you should watch some interviews with Bassem Youssef or Mehdi Hasan. Absolutely. Even Rashida Tlaib is the only member of the squad (and only Palestinian-American congresswoman) to not endorse Harris.
It’s self-defeating but my only hope is it’s a bluff…
Edit: sorry should clarify I’m mostly referring to Not Voting as opposed to voting for Trump, but that’s still a vote for Trump.
Oh yes, millions of them, you can tell because they’re on lemmy and reddit, and they were hardcore democrats before they decided to #walkaway because of Palestine.
Oh, and also supporting Ukraine and Taiwan is wrong too.
They show up more obviously here because it’s a smaller community, but the desperate hope they can kill democratic turnout by trying to make the whole election about Israel is an incredible delusion.
And in b4 some idiot from lemmygrad or ml explaining why I’m wrong and Hitler and that’s why nobody will vote Harris in November.
This hinges heavily on the theory that we’ve got a bunch of single issue Anti-Genocide voters. And I’ve lived through too many American sponsored genocides to believe it.
However, three things poll really well in the United States
- Cutting Spending on Foreign Aid (to literally anywhere)
- Looking tough in front of foreign leaders
- Getting the TV/Radio to stop talking about genocide
I doubt she’d get a full 5% bump (unless she announces this the day before early voting starts), because there would inevitably be a bunch of spin and backlash, assuming media didn’t just switch to New Thing and leave her position on Gaza in the rear view mirror. But it seems pretty clear that she’d get some noticeable benefit by siding with American voters on a broadly popular issue.
Harris would bolster her chances in key battleground states if she backed an arms embargo.
Lots of Muslim communities in these swing Midwestern states who are already marginally primed to vote for the Democrats. It definitely wouldn’t hurt, given the Uncommitted Vote count in Michigan and Pennsylvania during the Dem primary were some of the highest in the country.
She might even benefit in states like Texas and Arizona, given how many Iranian, Lebanese, and Turkish ex-pats live there. De-escalation in the Middle East would personally mean a lot to a co-worker of mine who still has family living in Tehran, for instance.
But its also very possible that the risk of offending a NY/DC media that’s heavily influenced by AIPAC is just too high. The Israeli Lobby is already biased towards the Republican Party and its Evangelical Anti-Muslim Base voters. Perhaps Harris is simply terrified of what a foreign government with a proven record of reshaping public opinion might do. If Russia can flip an election with a $46k Facebook ad buy, imagine what an irate AIPAC lobbyist could manage with tens of millions.
So AIPAC are a terror organization?
They will cause extreme social unrest and conflict to advance their political agenda. Leaving people to fear their attack as the reason they are complicit to them.
So AIPAC are a terror organization?
If we can call the Hamas health ministry a terrorist organization, then the lobbying wing of the Israeli military must surely qualify.
They will cause extreme social unrest and conflict to advance their political agenda. Leaving people to fear their attack as the reason they are complicit to them.
The problem with a propaganda machine is that it can fuck you right up the ass and leave you thanking it for its service.
They aren’t “Anti-Genocide” voters, as evidenced by their complete silence on the actual genocides that are occurring in other parts of the world.
Hint: They’re Anti-Western/Anti-American, and they only give a shit about Palestinians because they are attacking the West.
She doesn’t need to support an embargo. All she has to do is to say that the US is going to follow its own laws. As a former prosecutor, all she has to do is be the law and order candidate.
We need to know which states. Can they swing a state for the Democrats, is all the democrats care about right now.
If she does announce something like this it will be in late October when AIPAC can’t make a difference anymore.
I sent her a few bucks when Biden dropped out and a few more when she picked Walz. If she said the words “embargo” or “war profiteering”, though, I’d send her a whole damn pile of money. Won’t hold my breath.
