according to leading bookmakers.
Oh for fuck’s sake, can we please get one post-debate article that isn’t highly partisan or just moronic?
That would involve having a media environment that isn’t controlled by billionaires who are highly involved in manufacturing consent for regressive policies.
I mean the betting markets are generally aligned with extravagant statistical prediction models.
After all these markets have hundreds of millions poured into them, and people are trying to win not loose. Obviously there are still problems with them, and that headline really should have included “according to bookmakers”.
Are you sure about that?
If I make a $10,000,000 bet in one direction to change the betting odds to make everyone think my viewpoint is more popular, that’s a very cheap marketing campaign.
Even if I lose all that money, it’s good marketing. Especially if I’m manipulating less popular topics with less $$$$ needed to change the odds.
that’ll only change the odds on a single bookmaker. There are thousands on the election.
Also it’s highly illegal to bet on an event you are part of (although that doesn’t seem to stop trump from doing other things).
Additionally, to sway public opinion, influencing pollsters and the media (which we have objective proof of camapigns doing) is more effective. although they were mentioned in this article, they’ll be mentioned a lot less than polls.
Troublingly, the electorate rather resembles the coverage: highly partisan or just moronic.
The frightening realisation to take away is that most people don’t have a visceral horror of fascism in the way that progressives on Mastodon do. Which makes sense: if fascism was regarded with widespread revulsion, the Trumps and Orbans and Netanyahus of this world would be as successful as someone running a dogshit sandwich stall at the local market.
The frightening realisation to take away is that most people don’t have a visceral horror of fascism in the way that progressives on Mastodon do.
Oh, don’t worry. Many of the people on the Fediverse don’t have a visceral horror of fascism either. To them it’s “Both sides are fascist” because otherwise they might feel uncomfortable letting Trump win, and wouldn’t feeling uncomfortable about that just be awful.
most people don’t have a visceral horror of fascism
No the problem is instead of:
Fascists vs non-fascist
We get:
Fascists vs slightly less fascist
That’s not good enough to win elections. It’s not a binary choice between 0 and 1, it’s 0.5 and 1.
Uhh, Trump was the protest vote for a lot of people, unfortunately (Defifuckinlutely not me). Also, soooo few people vote, particularly in non-presedential year elections.
I always strategically vote for the best candidate, and live in a state which allows me to do so without impacting chances of the (more) fascist candidate winning the general election.
Also known as voting for the spoiler. Remind us again how that works out?
That’s not going to stop trump.
What will stop trump is running a good candidate.
But Biden and the people he appointed to run the DNC would rather trump win than Biden step aside for the good of the country
Says the guy whose head has been in the sand while we talk about what a bad choice Biden is for a couple years now.
Pony up nutjob, who is your candidate who can win 270 Electoral College votes at a higher likelihood than the sitting President?
Now? You mean after the dems refused to allow a primary / primary debates and have been shouting from the rooftops that dementia grandpa is the only candidate who can beat Trump?
Correction. Genocide enabling dementia grandpa
Hmmm….
I would vote for a walking corpse over a fascist like trump.
Honestly doesn’t even need to be walking. You could absolutely Weekend at Bernies him in a very obvious way and I’d still prefer him over trump
Or maybe it was Trump who lost the debate and his chances are worse afterwards? Who knows definitely not fucking Newsweek or CNN or Fox or anybody for that matter.
I do know that Trump is a fucking criminal and a human trash pos. So a lot of people won’t be voting for whatever that pile of shit is.
Everyone from Jon Stewart to Pod Save America recognize Biden had one of the worst debate performances in history. Focus groups of undecided voters who watched said Biden lost.
Let’s stay in reality and face the facts. Let’s not stoop to maga alt-reality.
Instead let’s just fix the issue at hand, assuage the concerns of voters, and improve our odds of beating Trump. Because there is no good data to support a Biden victory.
Republicans will vote Republican no matter what.
Dem voters have always needed a candidate they like and/or agree with to turnout en mass and get the Dem elected.
It makes zero sense to keep blaming Dem voters for having standards instead of blaming party leaders for continuingly shoving candidates we don’t like down our throats.
There is zero reason to keep pushing unpopular candidates.
But because we all held our noses for Biden 4 years ago, he got to nominate DNC leadership and he picked idiots who say Biden is our only shot.
Holding our noses and voting for a candidate whose not for basic parts of the party platform, just moves the party platform and makes it even harder to get votes the next election.
“Party leaders” did not shove Biden down our throats. Unless you’re arguing that the party leaders of the dems are all the suburban soccer moms of the countries, and their consistency at voting. Then yes, that’s true.
The party literally refused to hold any primary debates, or even primary elections in several states. They gave people no chance to even consider other candates.
And why? Because Dean Philips was doing so strongly, garnering appeal from progressives with his centrist positions?
If you want strong candidates, they need to run. If nobody good runs, then I think we’ve found the problem.
