I’ve been fucking saying this. He thinks it is about him. He’s gonna be dead. Nobody gives a fuck about your legacy except you unless you actually do something worthy of being remembered by. Even then it will be a footnote at best.
The future is now old man. Lead, follow, or get the fuck out of the way.
I think it’s best for the country if he stays in the race because he’s the incumbent and the best (according to the polls) person to replace him is already on the ticket. Also, if you think they’re gonna put someone progressive up, I have some bad news. Essentially, take every position Biden has, and you can safely assume his replacement will be at best as good, and probably at least a little bit worse.
It is obvious to anyone that is objectively evaluating the data that Joe Biden has no pathway to victory in this election.
538 puts his chances above Trump’s. The Keys to the White House puts Joe Biden as favored to win (at least, that’s the expected prediction). I have yet to find a single poll that puts Biden below Trump by more than the margin of Error unless that poll shows 18 to 20-somethings largely voting for Trump, which suggests a sampling bias. Donald Trump already lost to Joe Biden, and since then he attempted an insurrection. Pair the previous fact with the data suggesting Trump didn’t get the expected boost from the assassination attempt, and you reach the inevitable conclusion that America probably hates Trump.
Each individual datum I presented defies your conclusion, so I’m given to wonder why you have such confidence that it’s not just unlikely but impossible not only for Biden to win but for a reasonable person to disagree? What outstanding evidence do you have that would allow you to reasonably reach this strongest of all conclusions?
Edit: for those of you having trouble reading, I’m criticizing this person claiming that everyone who disagrees is unreasonable.
because he’s the incumbent
There’s an argument to be made that incumbency could actually be a drag right now. People don’t feel the government is working for them and they blame those currently in power. We saw with Trump that a lot of people will vote for any kind of change, even if it’s objectively worse.
There’s an argument to be made that incumbency could actually be a drag right now.
Alright, make it. People haven’t felt like the government has been working for them since I was old enough to vote, so I very much doubt that by itself is really your reasoning. People tell me that I change my mind surprisingly easily, so go ahead.
That ship has sailed. Americans don’t turn out for weakness. Whether it’s a squee while the 70 ton Main Battle Tank you’re riding in takes a jump or showing up to a debate cosplaying “confused old man”.
It’s not rational and political analysts hate it but it’s always been true. Biden had about a week to go on a barnstorm and show us the debate was a fluke and he handled it the exact wrong way. He stayed home and let his campaign staff try to spin things. He needs to step aside now.
