Key quote:
Biden’s defiance against calls for him to leave the presidential campaign after last month’s debate have only worsened his chances in November, Cook Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter wrote.
“Biden was losing pre-debate. Now, he’s losing by a bit more,” she said, adding that the possibility Biden leaves the race at this point is “remote.”
Citing postdebate polling, Cook announced it will move Minnesota, New Hampshire and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District from “Likely Democratic” to “Lean Democratic.” The group also moved Nevada, Arizona and Georgia from “Tossup” to “Lean Republican.”
Unfortunately, that only goes a couple of ways:
- Biden stays in and loses.
- Biden drops out for Kamala, who loses, because nobody likes her.
- The DNC replaces both of them, and that candidate loses because the voters believe they are owed a choice.
The only way I see a “D” win is for Joe to die in office, Kamala picks up the reins and gets a massive sympathy vote.
I mean, you and others where we’re advocating that Biden was our only chance of beating Trump, and you in particular worked to silence voices trying to inform people that Biden was not winning this election.
So you shouldn’t be surprised that I weight your opinion on what “will” happen politically to effectively 0.
R2O got a timeout for admitting that his relentless doom posting was agenda based, not because they were wrong. :)
I actually agreed with a lot of the articles posted.
Biden is walking a very fine line and since the debate, he’s on the wrong side of it. He’s confident he will recover, I think that’s delusional.
What I can guarantee will happen next is this:
- Trump will get a nice bump out of the convention starting 7/15 through 7/18.
There will be a bigger bump when he announces his VP pick.
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Without the conviction sentencing, the bump will be bigger than expected which will inspire more doom posting and calls for Biden to step aside.
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Biden will power through to the Democratic convention in August.
Any more mis-steps or health scares between now and August? That will make it hard to continue.
