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8 points

Right now? Is the election over?

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-5 points

I’m not sure what you are asking.

Early voting started in GA 2 days ago. First round had 350k ballots, which was up from the previous record of 120k in 2020.

Hopefully that’s a signal that there is a massively undersampled cohort being missed in the polling data, because otherwise this election is going to come down to a single swing states, if that, and will almost assuredly end up at the SC, in which case, yes, it’s over.

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6 points

Right now she’s not even winning so… it’s either she loses out right or it’s in the hands of the sc.

Polls are the easiest thing to manipulate and I see you are big into them. We are seeing bigger than expected turnouts in a lot of the early voting. We also know women vote in higher numbers then men. So we will wait and see how it shakes out.

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-5 points

Polls only seem to be fake news when the home town heroes are losing. Polling isn’t easily manipulated.

But yes, I agree on the issue of women voters. Harris is underperforming with literally every other cohort (relative to Biden). There really is no other cavalry to come in and save this (barring a whiplash inducing pivot from Harris on Israel/ Gaza).

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