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-10 points
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it’s pretty much inevitable which is why Kamala needed to shoot for a wave election. She needed to be able to put the map 2-3 swing states out of play to prevent any SC fuckery, so that one botched decision wouldn’t turn the election.

Right now she’s not even winning so… it’s either she loses out right or it’s in the hands of the sc.

That being said, early voter numbers in GA are showing 3x the turnout as 2020. In spite of Harris’s milquetoast campaign, it might be that women are gonna to be bringing this one home.

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8 points

Right now? Is the election over?

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-5 points

I’m not sure what you are asking.

Early voting started in GA 2 days ago. First round had 350k ballots, which was up from the previous record of 120k in 2020.

Hopefully that’s a signal that there is a massively undersampled cohort being missed in the polling data, because otherwise this election is going to come down to a single swing states, if that, and will almost assuredly end up at the SC, in which case, yes, it’s over.

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6 points

Right now she’s not even winning so… it’s either she loses out right or it’s in the hands of the sc.

Polls are the easiest thing to manipulate and I see you are big into them. We are seeing bigger than expected turnouts in a lot of the early voting. We also know women vote in higher numbers then men. So we will wait and see how it shakes out.

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