I would say his free will is not restricted
His decision making options are restricted but those decisions are just as much a product of his past as the ones we make out of prison, he’s still acting entirely based on external and internal forces
I’ll put it this way, if you were to make an exact copy of our universe at this moment and watch both of them play out, he’d almost certainly make the exact same decision both times, same applies to someone out of prison
My point isn’t that people don’t practically have agency in the decisions they make, because they obviously do. We just don’t know all the forces that influence that decision and it’s not useful to think about that, so we call it free will
His decision making options are restricted
What is free will if not decision making? I understand people who say free will doesn’t exist as saying we don’t actually make decisions, it’s all decided for us by some other factor.
The ability to predict things does not negate free will. If I put a ball on a hill it will roll down because it has no free will, and I am able to predict that. If I offer you $20 or a punch in the face I am able to predict that you will choose the $20, but that doesn’t mean free will doesn’t exist because you could choose the punch in the face.
I am 100% sure any ball will roll down the hill 100% of the time. I am only 99.99% sure that any person will choose the $20 100% of the time, because humans have more free will than a ball.
This is certainly one interpretation and the one I generally use but it’s still an an abstraction based on sentiment
Chatgpt can make decisions based on past “knowledge” and external stimuli, but we don’t consider it to have free will
You could say that’s only because it can’t do anything without human input but we can’t do anything without input from our senses
