I love how his campaign is spiraling out of control, yet every poll that comes out still has them in a statistical tie. I’d like it to spiral a little quicker please.
Both things can be true.
…What we’ve found for the last 10 years or so now is that when it comes to Republican candidates, and especially Trump, reality no longer matters. At all. There are 743,000 things that should have disqualified him for president. That Republicans should have noped out on, said “this is definitely not our guy”. They just don’t matter. For a number of reasons.
His campaign could be literally a dog shitting on a US flag. And it wouldn’t change anything; he would still poll virtually the same. There are almost no actual “undecideds” leaning towards him.
At this point, it’s about voter motivation and access. His guys CAN be less motivated to vote, and Harris supporters can definitely be more motivated to vote. That’s where we are.
Isn’t that true about all US elections? There are no “undecided” voters, just Dems and Reps and the result is always based on who can motivate their voters the most.
Not all.
And it didn’t use to be. Well, as bad, anyway.
Also, democrats and Democrat-aligned seem to be more likely to consider other options, or to call out their leaders. Not always, and probably not even most of the time. But significantly more often.
If that were true, then nobody would be worried about third-party voters. Off the top of my head, you might want to consider it 1992, 2000, and 2016.
(Of course motivating people is really important, too.)
