• The Harris campaign is showing new strength in must-win states ahead of the party’s convention.
  • In Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Harris leads Trump 50% to 46% among likely voters.
  • It’s a reflection of the continued reset of the 2024 race after Biden’s exit.
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28 points

In Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Harris leads Trump 50% to 46% among likely voters.

That’s within the margin of error. That doesn’t really count as a lead.

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39 points

No, but Trump’s leads were also within the margin of error, so it’s encouraging to see a swing, even if it might just be noise.

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20 points

She’s only been campaigning for a few weeks. The DNC hasn’t even happened yet. I would call this pretty phenomenal.

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12 points
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13 points

Most people have a really, really awful understanding of how statistics work.

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24 points
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5 points

Are they the same people?

You are aware that different people can think different things, right?

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1 point
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2 points

Which people? I don’t recall seeing any comments like that on Lemmy, at least.

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8 points
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Maybe not, but it’s encouraging! Harris/Walz are stoking enthusiasm because they want to actually improve people’s lives, not just repeat the same tired culture-war bullshit…

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4 points

You don’t know the margin of error unless you know the sample size. I didn’t see the sample size mentioned in the article.

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