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20 points

I’m not familiar with Newsweek’s history, but I discount this source because every link is back to their website, and they don’t present the data they’re citing. I had to go look it up to confirm. PDF link is here: https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-07/Topline ABC_Ipsos Poll July 27 2024.pdf

Also presenting a view that Trump is destined to lose gets us in the situation in 2016 where people didn’t go vote because it was a given that Hillary would win. From a polling perspective, the information is really only useful to the campaign, to know where to focus and what is doing well. For everyone else, it’s a curiosity to see how the rest of the country is feeling. The only real way to ensure Trump doesn’t get back into the White House is to vote.

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