Bimfred
The rail launch is going to be interesting. Presumably, the sled is separately accelerated, to give the vehicle a little kick and save propellant. It won’t be much, even a 4g acceleration would only get it up to roughly Mach 1.5 before it runs out of rail, but it’s not nothing either. And unless the sleds are single-use, they’ll need to decelerate them somehow.
But man, bring it on! The premise of initially accelerating a vehicle on a rail or launch loop, before the vehicle’s own engines kick in, is probably the closest we can get to SSTO from Earth. At least without using nuclear propulsion.
What’s your reasoning behind the claim that a company that’s been transporting crew to and from the ISS for 4 years, and currently has a vehicle docked to the station, is incapable of launching a tenth mission? Mind that said mission was supposed to launch next week, but Starliner is being a pad princess in orbit and won’t get off the required docking port.
Right now, the Earth is losing mass at about 55 000 tons per year. Yes, losing. About 100 000 tons of hydrogen and helium escapes the upper atmosphere, partially offset by roughly 45 000 tons of dust and meteorites getting scooped up along our orbit.
Considering this has been happening for millions of years, I think we’re quite safe from affecting the Earth’s mass and orbit within the span of even centuries.
But it’s much more likely that the majority of material mined and processed in space will not be coming down to Earth. It’s much better put to use in orbital construction, or shallower gravity wells like the Moon and Mars.
You’re entirely right that getting to the rocks, and getting the mined stuff to where it’s actually useful, are gonna be a problem. Maybe we’ll finally get some nuclear thermal engines, cause the shite ISP of chemical rockets is really insufficient for these trips and ain’t no one wanna wait on the gravity assists.