I am reading The New Wave, the last book from Microsoft AI CEO Suleyman. He mentioned that a massive study pegged down the General Purpose Technologies to be only 24 in the last 10000 years (so fire is not included for example), but I can’t find the study. Does anybody know the study? This is the list btw:

Domestication of plants Domestication of animals Smelting of ore Money Wheel Writing Bronze Iron Water wheel Three-masted sailing ship Printing Factory system Steam Engine Railways Steamship Internal combustion engine Electricity Automobile Airplane Mass production Computer Lean production Internet Biotechnology

EDIT: I found the source https://www.amazon.com/Economic-Transformations-General-Purpose-Technologies/dp/019929089X

2 points
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I found the source: https://www.amazon.com/Economic-Transformations-General-Purpose-Technologies/dp/019929089X . And I added a screenshot of the table of content (available as a sample on amazon)

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2 points

How about light? Isn’t extra work hours, the ability to operate vehicles at night general purpose enough?

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10 points

Sounds like some totally arbitrary bullshit someone made up to meet a word count. Some are specific, some are vague. Some (lean production) are corporate bullshit

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5 points

You could easily argue that things like washing machine, refrigerator and fertilizers should be added to the list. If you really wanted to make a serious list like this, it’s going to have hundreds of entries.

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4 points

Fertilizer gave us the green revolution. Allowed the enormous populations that now exist. Without fertilizer there would have been famines

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2 points

Before synthetic fertilizers were invented, people would fight for guano islands.

See also: Chincha Islands War

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2 points

But then he wouldn’t be able to say AI is 25! And 25 is a cool number or something

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4 points

For those that don’t want to click the X link:

General purpose technologies are the closest thing we have to magic.

Each has given us more with less - and propelled civilization forward. Check out this list of 24 over the last 10,000 years

  • Domestication of plants
  • Domestication of animals
  • Smelting of ore
  • Money
  • Wheel
  • Writing
  • Bronze
  • Iron
  • Water wheel
  • Three-masted sailing ship
  • Printing
  • Factory system
  • Steam Engine
  • Railways
  • Steamship
  • Internal combustion engine
  • Electricity
  • Automobile
  • Airplane
  • Mass production
  • Computer
  • Lean production
  • Internet
  • Biotechnology

AND we have AI, the ultimate meta-technology…

the real question is how many further general-purpose technologies it can unlock in turn.

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3 points

“Smelting of ore”, “bronze”, and “iron” seem like they are either duplicates or not specific enough to be a “general purpose technology”. On the flip side, I would argue for the inclusion of radio, distinct from electricity.

There’s also a notable lack of chemical processes other than “smelting”. Electrolysis, nitrogen fixation (Haber-Bosch), and cement would be good contenders.

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