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Sorta. This “model collapse” thing is basically an urban legend at this point.

The kernel of truth is this: A model learns stuff. When you use that model to generate training data, it will not output all it has learned. The second generation model will not know as much as the first. If you repeat this process a couple times, you are left with nothing. It’s hard to see how this could become a problem in the real world.

Incest is a good analogy, if you know what the problem with inbreeding is: You lose genetic diversity. Still, breeders use this to get to desired traits and so does nature (genetic bottleneck, founder effect).

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Training data for models in general was a big problem when I studied systems biology. Interesting that we finding works around, since it sounded rather fundamental to me. I found your metaphor rather helpful, thanks.

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