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2 points

Europe puts a ton of international shipping through three choke points. Gibraltar, Suez Canal, and the English Channel. The US Navy is more than capable of locking down all three. So would a Chinese Navy that’s built more for blue water operations than they are now. Europe doesn’t have the air or naval capacity to counter that.

The options left are land routes and going north of England. And even going to the north of England wouldn’t be safe for shipping.

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5 points

Europe would have more aircraft in the air and European navies are also rather more capable then you might believe. There are reasons the US does not train against European submarines.

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