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5 points

Consider this. As this was his first presidential election to vote in, registering Democrat meant voting in a meaningless primary, so registering Republican would be a strategic choice to vote against Trump as a nominee.

Is this the case? We don’t know yet, but voter registration for a 20 year old doesn’t infer much

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9 points

He registered as a Republican in 2021, and voted in the 2022 election, so it wasn’t for a strategic vote against Trump, unless he was thinking ahead by several years.

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5 points

Both primaries were forgone conclusions.

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