This picture is going to boost Trump so high up that I don’t think Biden or any other Democrats have a chance anymore.
Bullshit. It makes just as much sense this has no effect as it has any measurable effect. The only truth right now is that its too soon for any educated guesses or conclusions. Anyone saying firmly anything, should be flatly ignored right now.
There are so many examples of American patriotism coming out for the loudmouth. Bush’s random ass boost in polls after 9/11 was huge even though he did nothing. He just said a bunch of stupid Murica shit.
Don’t kid yourself.
Reagan was shot and had the biggest landslide in history. LBJ ran a few months after Kennedy died and had similar numbers.
Reagan was going to landslide anyways since Carter was slipping. LBJ was leading a popular administration. Using the past in presidential contests to try and predict future ones is laughable, because they’re insanely complex, change rapidly from contest to contest, and we have so few data to parse from. Trump isn’t going to win because of this, most people still remember his horrible incompetence.
It is a pretty great picture, but it’s not going to somehow magically make people who hate Trump suddenly decide to vote for him. At best, it’ll energize his base into voting, but his base was already really energized.
There’s a ton of fence sitters who are going to choose a side in the next couple months and this picture is going to persuade some of them to vote for him.
I mean, maybe. But let’s not confuse our fears with evidence, here. There’s no evidence as yet that this incident or this picture will lead to a statistically significant bump in people voting for him.