The amount of people here calling themselves āfar-leftā and regurgitating republican talking points is insane.
Going from calling Biden too old (which isnāt wrong but heās still the best viable option) to defending Russiaās invasion of Ukraine seamlessly.
(which isnāt wrong but heās still the best viable option)
Whoa, hey now I very much object to the certainty of this claim.
Yeah, David Axelrod, senior Obama strategist credited with Obamaās successful elections, Obama speech-writers and communications director, and now numerous long-serving Congressional democrats disagree but, totally the best viable option despite poll after poll showing heās massively down and Bidenās own current campaign strategists reporting they see no viable path.
If your ship hit the iceberg and is taking on water, any other nearby vessel is a better alternative. At worst, itās in the same condition. At best, itās not fucking sinking. 75% of likely voters say Biden is too old to run and Democrats have a better chance with someone else at defeating Trump.
Disclaimer: we need to jump ship now but Iāll vote for a corpse over Donald Trump. I just think weāll lose if we stick with Biden and the data shows it.
Then the Democrats can pick someone else NOW and rally behind them. This constant undermining of Biden while not providing a good alternative and promoting them is just hurting Democrats chances to save democracy. This is irresponsible on such an obvious level I have to assume they are trying to lose the presidency.
Itās all about pressuring Biden in time before his nomination is locked in by the delegates. The moment that happens, this ends for better or worse.
Biden has to willingly step down, the Dem leadership made it clear they wonāt attempt to force him. Progressives canāt try to force it either or they will be excised from the party and simultaneously blamed for the inevitable loss.
Biden hasnāt held a full cabinet meeting since last year, so 25th amendment probably not happening either.
And so, ramping up the pressure on Biden to do the right thing by stepping down is the only viable option at this time. It sucks, but this is the bed Biden and the DNC made to lie in.
Iām not sure Iād put much stock in modern polling.
A study suggests the debate had very little impact, but even if it didnāt, historically, changing candidates this late hasnāt worked out.
https://boingboing.net/2024/07/10/impacts-of-the-presidential-debate-far-overestimated.html
Discussion aside, wtaf is boingboing.net? Iām even hesitant to click that link.
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Reliable pollsters are accurate albeit snapshots in time.
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Aggregate reliable polls even more so.
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Nate Silverās algorithm is over 90% accurate in its prediction model across thousands of races over the years.
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Cook Political Report is the gold standard.
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Even internal polls reported by democratic Congressional campaigns as well as the Presidentās team themselves admit theyāre behind.
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They were 10 points up at this time in 2020.
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If you arenāt going off this, what ARE you going off of, vibes? In one breath you say donāt put stock in polls, then point to an outlier? I mean, what!?
So you canāt comfort me saying that when Biden shouldāve come out 1 step ahead from that debate, he is not maybe only 1 step back as he has been for ages, but possibly 2 steps back.
Unfortunately, historically, a split like this is unprecedented. By coming out against Biden publicly, Democratic congressmembers have forced the issue, and itās not going to result in Biden remaining our best chance, even IF he would have remained our best chance had they remained publicly silent.
Why is Trump still attacking Biden so hard?
Because Trump is scared shitless of him.
Trump is scared shitless of everyone. Thatās what it is, being a paranoid thin-skinned narcissist with a brain rotted by stimulants and venereal disease. I wouldnāt trust Trumpās take on electoral calculus, for or against.
Trump has suddenly began attacking Kamala in speeches. Itās quite clear GOP agree Biden is their easiest opponent, too.
Trump just enjoys being mean and Biden is currently his opponent. When given the choice between shutting up and cruising to a victory and screaming nonsense(while cruising to a win because his supporters are objectively incredibly stupid people) heās gunna choose screaming nonsense every time.
Unfortunately, Biden may have lost too much support from his own party at this point. Itās probably necessary for him to step down, regardless. You donāt get Congresscritters of your own party calling for the presumptive nominee and incumbent to step down unless it looks godawful going into the election with the current ticket.
Itās probably going to be Harris if he is replaced, which Iāmā¦ not thrilled with. But Blue no matter who. Iāll vote for Biden if heās on the ticket in November - Iāll vote for a fucking potato if I have to in order to oppose fascism. But he very well may be an electoral liability at this point, not a boon.
Heād be stepping down into the void. The primaries are mostly over. Itād just be the DNC deciding for themselves who the candidate would be. That would NOT please most voters. Itās typical for an incumbent to be the nominee for a second term. Itās not typical for a party to just decide who the candidate would be.
Itās probably going to be Harris if he is replaced, which Iāmā¦ not thrilled with.
If thatās who they choose they need to decide now and start talking her up, even if Biden doesnāt step down right away. We are past primary season. And honestly, sheās fine. Not good fine. But sheāll lose to Trump. Not for any part of her own merit or policies, but because America is a sexist, racist country and I do not have any confidence in them electing a black woman. Maybe is she was popular or charismatic like Obama was but we havenāt really seen her do much.
If thatās who they choose they need to decide now and start talking her up, even if Biden doesnāt step down right away. We are past primary season. And honestly, sheās fine. Not good fine. But sheāll lose to Trump.
Unfortunately, while I share some of your reservations, I think the ballās in motion. We can let it roll (pick a new candidate) or get crushed by it (stick with Biden and have the millstone of defections hanging around our necks the entire election season), but either way, itās going where itās going. We have to deal with it as best we can, not deal with it the way that we wouldāve, say, two months ago, before this went down.