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I’ve read that starting drinking early is a solid indicator of future addiction. OTOH I thinks it’s largely genetic.

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Correct. Largely genetic to the point there are specific genes that are link to it.

The early drinking part is likely because they are being raised by alcoholics so access to easy and possibly encouraged.

Claiming early drinking alone is responsible for alcoholism is about as meaningful as blaming early marijuana use to drug addiction.

The path to the destination may leads through certain steps but does not require those steps. There is a reason many children of addicts choose absolute abstention.

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