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19 points

The article is quite extensive so ill try to give a short summary:

Israel wanted Assad ro remain in power to render Syria ineffective. The UAE, one of Israels closest Arab allies wanted Assad to remain in power to demotivate any popular peoples movement from challenging their autocratic leaders.

Israel and the US wanted to prop up the SDF/YPG/PKK Kurds and Israel wanted to prop up the Druze in the South of Syria to split it into three parts with the Kurds fighting Turkey and the Druze severing the Iran-Hezbollah Axis for them.

Assad was convinced the UAE and Israel would help Iran and Russia intervene on his behalf, which is why he only fled so late.

With the fall of Assad Israel quickly picked up to destroy Syrias military capabilities and invaded more of the South of Syria to prevent the formation of a self determined Syria.

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15 points

I don’t know that any other nation involved in the conflict actually wanted Assad out of power. They thought the status quo would be maintained indefinitely.

Now none of them have a plan for what to do next because they didn’t plan for this eventuality.

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4 points

Assad’s fall is starting to look like it has a lot in common with an Austrian motorcade…

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