We’ve done this for a few years on the r/futurology subreddit. Here’s 2024’s predictions. Not many seem to have got a lot right, though most got a certain amount correct.
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4 points
Climate
- 2024 hottest year on record (so far)
- COP30 a failure
- Large storms / floods destroy portion of a US city
- Oil and Gas continues to expand
AI / Tech
- AI roll out continues and more and more businesses shed staff for AI
- No sign of AGI
- No significant roll out of AI powered robots other than in isolated cases
Economy
- Bitcoin hits $200k at some point in 2025
- Global Inflation Down
- Global Interest rates Down
- Inequality continues to rise globally
War
- More conflict in middle east, potentially China joins fray somewhere
- Stalemate in Ukraine, no formal end to war
Medicine
- Neuralink/BCI makes progress but nothing groundbreaking
Energy
- Solar / Wind continues to expand, prices drop further
- Fusion 30 years away