Cruz won over Beto at 2.6%, 538 is projecting Cruz at +4% over Allred. What am I missing?
The Iowa poll is the key to this whole thing.
The Setzer poll tosses out what past elections use as a base for their calculations. She goes off what’s happening now and it’s an extremely reliable poll.
#VOTE!!
I’m going to ask this dumb question in the interest of learning: I understand and agree Setzer is solid at polling Iowa, but what does it have to do with the Texas Senate?
Same as 2022. I’ve been saying for months that Allred was running the wrong kind of campaign. For all of his flaws Beto O’Rourke did better than any Democrat has in like the last 30 years. Instead of following that strategy of high energy and high engagement Allred ran a low energy passive campaign that spent all this energy targeting Republican and moderate voters. Insanity. In essence he ran the same tired Texas democratic party campaign as everyone else who gets their ass kicked in this state does.
