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-16 points
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Kurzweil has been right on tons of his predictions.

What a shitty, ignorant title.

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27 points
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I predict you are going to have a bad time here. And that is far before 2045.

(Edit: I hear you think, but predicting after a thing has already happened and keeps happening, that isn’t really predicting now is it. And Varyk was enlightened).

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-13 points

Haha, see, one prediction and it’s already wrong.

That’s why kurzweil is so impressive with all of his correct predictions.

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12 points

Yeah, I had not seen your post of 10 correct predictions, sorry enlightenment is mu, a bit like the question if a dog has Buddha nature.

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27 points

fuck almighty it’s gonna be one of those weekends isn’t it

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22 points

@Varyk Kurzweil thought we’d all be quasi-cyborgs on 2 wheels by now.

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9 points

clicking out my heelies kurzweil wins again

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14 points

He’s been as right as Alex Jones has been

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7 points

but was Kurzweil sued (and lost) for his bullshit?

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10 points

@Varyk

Name ten.

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-10 points
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Easy peasy:

  1. Computers would beat humans at chess(happened in 1998)

  2. Digital information explosion(The information on the internet rapidly becoming too much for the entire world to read)

  3. Medicine becoming information technology(genomic, sequencing and crispr)

  4. The inevitability of direct human computer interfacing (neuralink)

  5. Life extension(cryonics/neuralink)

  6. AI becoming a major industry(AI)

  7. Computers built into eyeglasses(google glass)

  8. Cpu processing speed explosion(Moore’s law)

  9. PCs would be able to answer questions wirelessly (search engines and the internet)

  10. Exoskeletons render the disabled able (3d printable prosthetic limbs)

There are many, many more correct predictions by this guy

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16 points

| AI becoming a major industry(AI)

Yes, but in the same way that tax shelters and carbon offsetting are major industries. All the useful things done by “AI” tend to happen outside of the hype mills and be relatively boring statistical models like autocomplete, which nobody points to as a sign of the coming Computer God.

| Computers built into eyeglasses(google glass)

They build single-use computers into pregnancy tests. They’re powerful enough to run DOOM, despite being doomed to immediately become e-waste. Is this a sign of the imminent Singularity as well?

| PCs would be able to answer questions wirelessly (search engines and the internet)

Someone built a radio into a computer? Really? I wonder why nobody thought of that before.

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19 points

@Varyk @jonhendry Neuralink? How’s that going? I presume extremely well with no problems, I haven’t got time to check right now

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10 points

If you think those are impressive, you’re very very stupid

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14 points
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are these meat popsicles in the room with us?

gif, sorry for being annoying

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41 points
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Some of Kurzweil’s predictions in 1999 about 2009:

  • “Unused computes on the Internet are harvested, creating … human brain hardware capacity.”
  • “The online chat rooms of the late 1990s have been replaced with virtual environments…with full visual realism.”
  • “Interactive brain-generated music … is another popular genre.”
  • “the underclass is politically neutralized through public assistance and the generally high level of affluence”
  • “Diagnosis almost always involves collaboration between a human physician and a … expert system.”
  • “Humans are generally far removed from the scene of battle.”
  • “Despite occasional corrections, the ten years leading up to 2009 have seen continuous economic expansion”
  • “Cables are disappearing.”
  • “grammar checkers are now actually useful”
  • “Intelligent roads are in use, primarily for long-distance travel.”
  • “The majority of text is created using continuous speech recognition (CSR) software”
  • “Autonomous nanoengineered machines … have been demonstrated and include their own computational controls.”
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20 points

@Varyk

Cryonics is a grift, nobody is going to be cured of death by future Dr Jesus.

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22 points

Absolutely amazing post, thank you so much. So that’s one correct prediction and nine on a spectrum from wrong to meaningless!

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20 points
  1. Sure, I’m not even going to verify this one since it’s so low stakes.
  2. This is ill-defined.
  3. Again ill-defined, and I need dates on this, we’ve been sequencing DNA for like 50yrs at this point.
  4. Lol, Neuralink kills monkeys, there’s zero indication of its “inevitability”.
  5. Lol^2, none of that shit works mate. Name one person whose life was extended with cryonics.
  6. AI is ill-defined, plus dates please.
  7. And how well did that go?
  8. First of all, that’s called Moore’s Law after the actual guy who made this prediction, you can’t credit someone else than Moore for Moore’s Law, wtf. Second, this hasn’t held for at least a decade now; we’ve been focusing on completely different things than raw CPU speed to actually increase compute.
  9. “Answer questions” there is a load-bearing term. Did he mean search engines? Is this deriberately vague?
  10. I’m sorry? First, a 3D printed prosthetic is not an exoskeleton, what kind of a logic leap is that. Second, citation needed on “3D printable prosthetic limbs” actually being in use right now on any scale.
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SneerClub

!sneerclub@awful.systems

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Hurling ordure at the TREACLES, especially those closely related to LessWrong.

AI-Industrial-Complex grift is fine as long as it sufficiently relates to the AI doom from the TREACLES. (Though TechTakes may be more suitable.)

This is sneer club, not debate club. Unless it’s amusing debate.

[Especially don’t debate the race scientists, if any sneak in - we ban and delete them as unsuitable for the server.]

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