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At this rate by 2038 windows will be at 50% market share and by 2069 it’ll be at 0%.
Mac is at ~20% and quite well known already, so maybe 20% is the market share where even commoners (non-tech folk) will know of linux and use it. Still have a ways to go folks…
How that was calculated
- Export the data into CSV from the historical chart
- Change the date to an index starting at 0
- copy into https://www.graphpad.com/quickcalcs/linear2/
- Copy formula into desmos (replace “X” with “x”)
- Add
x*0 + 50andx*0to find the points where 50% and 0% are reached - Use datetime calculator and just add the number of months to 2009-01-01
There’s probably a better tool, but a 5 minute search didn’t find one for me 🤷
14 points
I respond to your estimates with the customary xkcd
